Tripling renewables is the single largest action to cut emissions this decade and keep the 1.5C goal within reach. At the UN’s COP28 climate change conference in December 2023, world leaders reached a historic agreement to triple global renewables capacity by 2030. IEA and IRENA both show that a global tripling of renewables to at least 11,000 GW by 2030 is the optimal pathway to keep 1.5C within reach.
Over 90% of the renewable capacity growth is expected to be from solar and wind, with wind capacity itself also tripling from 901 GW in 2022 to 2,742 GW in 2030. Wind has a critical role to play in the clean energy transition This would mean wind generates almost a fifth (19%) of global electricity supply by 2030. This report analyses national wind targets to see how current plans align with a tripling of wind capacity by 2030.
The report “Wind Targets Are Achievable But Fall Short Of A Tripling” by EMBER suggests that national targets add up to a more than doubling of global wind capacity by 2030, but fall short of a tripling. The sum of 2030 national wind targets from 70 countries and one region is 2,157 GW. This is a 2.4x increase from 901 GW in 2022, leaving a gap of 585 GW to achieve a global tripling of wind (2,742 GW). Forecasts for 2030 indicate a doubling of global wind capacity, suggesting that the sum of national wind targets can be met on a global scale.
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