Renewables Impact: Assessing power system resilience in non-EU Mediterranean countries
The transition towards higher shares of renewable energy across the assessed Mediterranean countries is expected to significantly increase system flexibility requirements between 2025 and 2030. As renewable deployment accelerates, ramping requirements and periods of negative residual load are expected to intensify, with Tunisia facing the most frequent occurrences, particularly in winter when demand is low and renewable output remains high. While solar and wind follow relatively predictable daily patterns, electricity demand varies seasonally, with summer demand creating mismatches between supply and consumption. This increases the need for flexible resources such as energy storage, demand response and cross-border interconnectors to balance the system.
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