Green Hydrogen Under OBBBA: What Still Clears an Investment Committee
Roughly 60 clean-hydrogen projects, more than 4.9 million tonnes a year of planned capacity, were cancelled in 2025. The technology did not stop working. The economics only ever closed on a single subsidy, the demand never showed up at the price, and OBBBA just lit a fuse under the subsidy. Here is the arithmetic a 2026 investment committee actually needs. These were not fringe ventures. Air Products walked away from a multi-billion-dollar project; BP and Statkraft retrenched; S&P Global counts around 60 clean-hydrogen projects shelved in 2025. Every post-mortem lands on the same three causes: no bankable offtake, cost inflation through construction, and policy uncertainty. Two of those three are economic, and they are quantifiable. So let us quantify them, on June-2026 cost inputs rather than 2021 ambition.
Read More
